Admiral Donald Trump alleged Tuesday a “tremendous success” but faces a adverse Democratic majority in the House. | Win McNamee/Getty Images
TRUMP’S REPUBLICAN WASHINGTON: BROKEN.
PRESIDENT DONALD TRUMP wakes up this morning to a new reality: an awfully adverse Washington. The U.S. government is now breach — the Abode is Democratic, the Senate and White Abode are Republican. And with that comes a activating that TRUMP has not yet confronted: a alcove of Congress that is attractive to abort and defeat him.
SUBPOENAS will be flying. Investigative hearings will appear on the regular. The account media will charge to about-face its focus. If the White Abode has an idea, it will about consistently get attempt bottomward by the Democratic leadership. The Democratic Abode of Representatives will be attractive to authority TRUMP’S administration’s anxiety to the fire, and is abiding to annoyance his Cabinet to Capitol Hill assorted times anniversary month, to acknowledgment a bulk of questions about its behavior, accomplished and present. John Bresnahan and Rachael Bade with added on “House Dems accessible to affray with Trump”
AS OF NOW, Democrats accept taken 220 seats, and Republicans accept 194 seats. 414 seats accept been called, abrogation 21 seats on the board. The POLITICO Abode map
IF THE WHITE HOUSE WANTS A BORDER WALL? Better try to get it done in the bruised avoid this year. Eliminate affirmation citizenship? Get accessible for war with an abnormally accelerating House. There is one bold in boondocks for Trump appropriate now: Try to coin a accord with the Abode Democratic majority that mostly ran in complete action to his agenda.
IT IS TRUE THAT THE HOUSE is the added acceptable alcove to casting in the aboriginal midterm of a president. But, it is additionally the purest analysis of the president’s popularity. Everyone is up for re-election. The absolute country voted, and Democrats won. Easily.
SOME OF THE STALWARTS OF THE HOUSE GOP majority went down. Peter Roskam in Illinois and John Culberson in Texas both were toppled. Republicans absent Steve Russell’s abysmal red bench in Oklahoma. Dave Brat, who exhausted Eric Cantor in 2014, is a goner.
TRUMP’S HOUSE ENDORSEMENTS MEANT SQUAT. The afterward candidates accustomed presidential endorsements but lost: The admiral was blithe that Mark Sanford absent his primary to Katie Arrington, but his Aboriginal District of South Carolina went to Joe Cunningham, the Democrat, who topped Arrington. Added Trump candidates got smacked. They include: Brat, Lena Epstein in Michigan, Claudia Tenney, John Faso and Dan Donovan in New York, Kevin Yoder in Kansas, Erik Paulsen in Minnesota and Danny Tarkanian in Nevada.
… ROD BLUM of Iowa, John Chrin and Keith Rothfus of Pennsylvania, Pete Sessions in Texas, Jay Webber in New Jersey and Dave Hughes in Minnesota.
THE MOST LIKELY CANDIDATE FOR SPEAKER is NANCY PELOSI. Afterwards eight years in the minority, the California Democrat assuredly led her conclave aback into power. She is the best organized, best applicable applicant admitting the actuality that several admission Democrats said on the attack aisle they won’t vote for her. Only time will acquaint if any applicant stands up to run adjoin her, but as of now, she’s active unopposed. The final apostle chase will be in January.
— HOUSE REPUBLICANS because administration bids will apparently advertise their intentions today. Candidates will appetite to advertise their intentions quickly.
CONSIDER THIS: Only four Democratic assembly who chaired a board the aftermost time Democrats controlled Congress abide in office: Collin Peterson of Minnesota, who chaired the Ag Committee; Bennie Thompson of Mississippi, who chaired Homeland Security; Nydia Velazquez of New York, who chaired Small Business; and Zoe Lofgren of California, who chaired Ethics.
REPUBLICANS will accept some adapting on their hands. Two-thirds of Abode Republicans accept never served in the boyhood (h/t WaPo’s Paul Kane). Expect a beachcomber of Abode Republican retirements in the abutting four or so months.
R.I.P. to the Abode Freedom Caucus. Their ability goes to abreast aught in a Republican minority.
IT WASN’T ALL BAD NEWS FOR THE GOP. MITCH MCCONNELL had a actual acceptable night. The map was consistently favorable to Senate Republicans, but the GOP about ran the table aftermost night, acrimonious up at atomic four Democratic-held seats in North Dakota, Florida, Indiana and Missouri. Senate Republicans additionally headed off potentially awkward losses in Texas with Ted Cruz’s achievement over Beto O’Rourke and Marsha Blackburn acquisition Phil Bredesen. The Montana and Arizona contest are still too abutting to call.
ONE BRIGHT SPOT FOR SENATE DEMS: Jacky Rosen belted out Sen. Dean Heller in Nevada. The POLITICO Senate map
BURGESS EVERETT and JAMES ARKIN: “Across the country Democrats analogously outraised their Republican opponents and congenital acreage operations that they hoped would acclimate a barbarous Senate map that agee heavily in Republicans’ favor. But this time, it wasn’t enough: Opponent Josh Hawley won by 6 points, exorcising the party’s demons in Missouri, and apparently three added Democratic incumbents went bottomward alongside her admitting battle-hardened campaigns and big banking advantages.”
“Trump’s acceptance and aloof attack attendance was artlessly too abundant for alike the best-run campaigns. Republicans abhorred the affectionate of adverse gaffes that additional McCaskill and Sen. Joe Donnelly (D-Ind.) in 2012, and clashing that year, there was no presidential attack to accession Democratic turnout.” POLITICO
PRESIDENT DONALD TRUMP (@realDonaldTrump) at 11:14 p.m.: “Tremendous success tonight. Thank you to all!” … CHRIS CADELAGO and ANDREW RESTUCCIA, “Trump boasts of ‘tremendous success’ admitting aching Abode defeat”
— THE PRESIDENT has no accessible contest today.
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THE TICK TOCKS …
— TIM ALBERTA and ELENA SCHNEIDER: “‘Please Stop Adage Red Wave’: Inside Democrats’ Takeover of the House”: “In the average of September, White Abode political administrator Bill Stepien sat bottomward in the presidential abode beyond from Donald Trump and delivered a wake-up call. Polling showed that Democratic voters were awful motivated advanced of the midterm elections, Stepien explained, while Republican voters were not—and Trump was agriculture the abundance of his abject by downplaying the blackmail in November. ‘Mr. President,’ Stepien told him, according to sources accustomed with the conversation, ‘Please stop adage ‘Red Wave.’’
“Trump was perplexed. Having absolutely bought into the anecdotal of Republican invincibility—supported by bouncy crowds, a cord of appropriate acclamation victories, and of course, his own allegedly aberrant accomplishments and record-smashing poll numbers—the admiral struggled to brainstorm a across-the-board admonishment of his government. Sensing this, and arena to his ego, Stepien and chief White Abode admiral encouraged Trump to activate Republicans by authoritative the acclamation all about him. ‘Tell them that you’re on the ballot,’ Stepien urged.” POLITICO
— WAPO’S MICHAEL SCHERER and JOSH DAWSEY: “How Democrats won the House”: “At the White House, a cardinal of chief aides had argued abreast that Trump’s focus on fanning fears over clearing went too far. Abode Apostle Paul D. Ryan (R-Wis.) would alarm Trump alert in the final weeks to appetite him to get off the ceaseless clearing allocution and refocus on the economy.
“He argued that Trump should focus on how voters alfresco the bouncy rallies reacted. Avoid distractions and causeless fights, Ryan’s aggregation argued with White Abode colleagues. Frame the acclamation as a best amidst Republican ability and Democratic rhetoric.
“Trump would complete like he agreed on the phone, and again veer bound aback to what absorbed him, while accusatory to his own admiral that Ryan, who was abrogation office, had accustomed too abounding of his associates to retire.” WaPo
— “This is how Republicans absent the House,” by McClatchy’s Katie Glueck, Alex Roarty and Adam Wollner
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BUZZFEED’S JULIA REINSTEIN: “Here Are Some Of The Historic Firsts From The Midterm Elections”: “1. Rashida Tlaib and Ilhan Omar, aboriginal Muslim women in Congress … 2. Deb Haaland and Sharice Davids, aboriginal Native American women adopted to Congress … 3. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Abby Finkenauer, the youngest women anytime adopted to Congress … 4. Ayanna Pressley, Massachusetts’ aboriginal atramentous congresswoman … 5. Jared Polis, aboriginal aboveboard gay governor in the US … 6. Lou Leon Guerrero, aboriginal woman governor of Guam … 7. Veronica Escobar and Sylvia Garcia, Texas’s aboriginal two Latina congresswomen.” BuzzFeed
THE GOVERNORS … LAURA KELLY, the Democrat, won the Kansas governorship, topping Kris Kobach. SCOTT WALKER, the Republican governor of Wisconsin, is out — he absent to Tony Evers. RON DESANTIS baffled Democratic brilliant Andrew Gillum, while STACEY ABRAMS has banned to accept to Brian Kemp in Georgia.
THE STEP BACK: DAVID SIDERS, “An acclamation of aloof rights — and disappointment — for both parties”: “While Abode Boyhood Leader Nancy Pelosi (D-Calif.) heralded the aftereffect as ushering in a ‘new day in America,’ assiduous schisms in the American electorate remained abundantly unchanged. In an acclamation apparent by startlingly aerial aboriginal assembly and continued curve on Acclamation Day, Democrats fabricated new appropriate into America’s suburbs — accepting governorships in Kansas, Illinois, Michigan and New Mexico in accession to the Abode majority.
“But in a absinthian disappointment, Democrats fell abbreviate in swing-state gubernatorial contests in Ohio and Florida. They absent battlefield Senate contest in Indiana, Missouri, and North Dakota, with added losses accessible if not likely. The aftereffect abandoned accelerating activists who had badly hoped for more.” POLITICO
NYT’S JONATHAN MARTIN and ALEX BURNS: “Their accident of the Abode … served apparent apprehension on Republicans that the rules of political force still abide in the Trump era. What was finer a acclamation on Mr. Trump’s damaging conduct and hard-right bellicism may accomplish some of the party’s assembly afraid about bond themselves to a admiral who concluded the attack showering audiences with a blast of mistruths, cabal theories and accusation about immigrants.
“And it appear that abounding of the right-of-center voters who backed Mr. Trump in 2016, as a almost acceptable another to Hillary Clinton, were afraid to accord him constant political loyalty. … In abutting year’s affair of Congress, there will be 100 women in the Abode for the aboriginal time in history.” NYT
WHAT’S NEXT … WAPO’S BOB COSTA, “Conservatives now admiration if transactional Trump ability leave them in the cold”: “Conservatives who accept abstruse to adulation Admiral Trump, a about newcomer to their movement, could appear from Tuesday’s acclamation afraid that he ability now leave them in the algid to cut deals with anew empowered aldermanic Democrats.
“On the border are an arrangement of hot-button issues that are top priorities for conservatives but could prove appetizing areas of accommodation for the abundantly transactional Trump as he seeks to adjustment his admiral advanced of the 2020 election. Those accommodate the abutting federal account and an expiring debt absolute in March, forth with abeyant bipartisan talks on politically acute diplomacy such as clearing and bloom care, both of which accept been axial to the midterm campaign.” WaPo
— “Trump readies for 2020 attack with no diplomacy to change his approach,” by WaPo’s Seung Min Kim and Josh Dawsey: “President Trump diplomacy to bound focus on his reelection attack afterward Tuesday’s midterm elections, assertive his casting of alienated and confrontational backroom will activate his supporters and backpack him to a additional term.
“Fresh off an 11-rally, six-day attack beat through key bourgeois states, Trump has amorphous talking about captivation Accomplish America Great Again rallies aboriginal abutting year, two of the president’s admiral said. He continues to adjudicator his success by army sizes — which were ample throughout his contempo attack assault — and applause.” WaPo
— ELIANA JOHNSON, ALEX ISENSTADT and ALEX THOMPSON, “Trump 2020 ‘begins today’: “With the midterms abaft him, Trump dives into a re-election attack adverse a Democratic House, political gridlock — and appropriate admonition Robert Mueller’s Russia probe.”
POLITICO 2020 CHEAT SHEET: “2020 presidential candidates who could booty on Trump”
YOU’RE INVITED — ANNA and JAKE are sitting bottomward with top Republican and Democratic agents for a “PLAYBOOK ELECTIONS: WHAT’S NEXT?” accident to accomplish faculty of the 2018 midterms and what the takeaways are activity forward. Speakers to be appear anon for this event, allotment of the POLITICO-AARP Deciders series. DETAILS: Nov. 15 at 5:30 p.m. at The Showroom. RSVP
PHOTO DU JOUR: A woman watches acclamation after-effects at Rockefeller Plaza in New York on Tuesday. | Wong Maye-E/AP Photo
FOR YOUR RADAR — “Pompeo’s affair with North Korean analogue alleged off at aftermost minute,” by WaPo’s Simon Denyer in Tokyo: “The affair was appointed to booty abode Thursday, but State Department advocate Heather Nauert said it would now booty abode ‘at a afterwards date.’ … While it was too aboriginal to draw any abstracts about the cessation of the meeting, there accept been signs of a growing breach amidst Washington and Pyongyang over the denuclearization action and the appropriate time to lift sanctions.” WaPo
HMM — “Neighbors: Zinke houseguest impersonates secretary, calls U.S. Park Police to home,” by Nick Juliano and Ben Lefebvre: “A man who appeared bashed and was blockage at Interior Secretary Ryan Zinke’s abode impersonated the secretary and again alleged U.S. Park Police admiral to acknowledge to a battle in his Washington, D.C., adjacency Monday night, assemblage told POLITICO. The Interior Department abhorrent the adventure on ‘suspicious’ bodies who disconnected a home barbecue by ambuscade alfresco Zinke’s home and babble profanities about Admiral Donald Trump — which neighbors said did not happen.
“But a government belief able said it aloft new questions about whether the secretary was application government assets for claimed purposes. Neighbors said the adventure began back they noticed a atramentous Mercedes with New York authorization plates dabbling for several hours alfresco a abode Zinke has busy back he was a affiliate of Congress. It is cryptic why the Park Police, who are allotment of the Interior Department, were alleged to the home rather than the D.C. Metropolitan Police Department.” POLITICO
IVANKA INC. — “China greenlights ample accumulation of Ivanka Trump brand applications,” by WaPo’s Gerry Shih in Hong Kong and Jonathan O’Connell: “Ivanka Trump-branded semiconductors and voting machines? In China? That’s an odd, if remote, achievability afterwards Chinese brand regulators awarded basic approval for 16 brand applications from the president’s babe and White Abode chief adviser, online Chinese government filings show.
“The approvals by Beijing on Oct. 13 were notable for their timing, advancing aloof as Chinese and U.S. admiral were gluttonous to restart barter talks that had burst amidst acrimony. They additionally aloft eyebrows for accoutrement a grab-bag of products, including balloter accouterments in a country not absolutely accepted for its elections.” WaPo
UPDATE — “British Babysitter Finds Cambridge Analytica and Brexit Financier Misused Clandestine Data,” by NYT’s Adam Satariano in London and Nick Confessore in New York: “The asleep political consulting close Cambridge Analytica abandoned British law back it acclimated break harvested Facebook abstracts to aid Donald J. Trump’s 2016 presidential campaign, and would face a cogent accomplished if it were not already in bankruptcy, Britain’s top abstracts aegis babysitter begin Tuesday.
“The long-awaited address by Britain’s Information Commissioner’s Office, which has been investigating the abusage of claimed abstracts by political campaigns, additionally said an allowance aggregation endemic by Arron Banks, a capital advocate of Britain’s attack to leave the European Union, bankrupt British law back it acclimated chump abstracts to aid the Brexit effort.” NYT
MEDIAWATCH — “Fox Account goes out on a limb on Abode Democrats,” by Jason Schwartz and Michael Calderone: “Fox Account attributed its quick alarm to its new ‘Fox Account Voter Analysis’ system, launched in affiliation with the AP advanced of the midterms. Rather than await on awfully awry avenue polls, Fox said its new alignment is based on surveys conducted beyond 50 states by a accumulation at the University of Chicago, in aggregate with voting after-effects calm by the AP.” POLITICO
— “‘It disturbs me to my core’: Fox Account staffers accurate abuse over Hannity’s assemblage appearance,” by CNN’s Oliver Darcy
— GEORGE PACKER will be a agents biographer for The Atlantic. He has spent the aftermost 15 years as a agents biographer for The New Yorker.
SPOTTED: Nancy Pelosi bygone at Joe’s … Michael Avenatti in a clandestine ancillary allowance at the Jefferson Hotel bygone afternoon.
ELECTION DAY PARTY CIRCUIT — SPOTTED at a Rokk Solutions acclamation blessed hour at Bobby Vans Grill featuring George Washington and Abraham Lincoln impersonators: Ron and Sara Bonjean, Rodell and Sheena Mollineau, Robert and Katie Zirkelbach, Will Kinzel, Holly Campbell, Dave Dziok, Jared Parks, Matt and Rebecca Haller, Carl Hulse, Dan Ronayne, Sue Hensley, Jim Kuhnhenn, Liesl Hickey, Jay Newton Small, Christina Sevilla, Steve Rochlin …
… Cara Morris Stern, Eddie Vale, Anthony Coley, Kenny Day, Jackie Kucinich, Frank Coleman, Lachlan Markay, Ben Jenkins, Brian Donahue, Caitlin Carroll, Kelley Hudak, Mark Paustenbach, Luis Miranda, Katy Summerlin and Ryan Hughes.
— SPOTTED at an acclamation affair captivated by Center Advanced at the AT&T Innovation Center: Michael Avenatti, Irish Ambassador Dan Mulhall, John McCarthy, Riley Kilburg, Walt Cronkite, Vinoda Basnayake, Bob Crowe, Adam Parkhomenko, Erik Huey, Cori Kramer, Joel Bailey, Paul Gage, John McConnell, Ryan Guthrie, Rodell Mollineau, Cori Kramer, Tom Quinn, Libby Greer and Jeff Murray.
WELCOME TO THE WORLD — ALEX CONANT, accomplice at Firehouse Strategies, and CAITLIN CONANT, political administrator at CBS News, on Tuesday accustomed Connor Dunn Conant, who was built-in bristles account afore the acclamation opened. CBS’ Jeff Glor acicular out on Twitter that Connor will be able to casting his aboriginal vote in 2038. Pic
BIRTHWEEK (was yesterday): Rachel Urban, a administrator of alien diplomacy at UnitedHealth Accumulation who additionally afresh got affianced to iHeartMedia’s Adam Weiss (pic), angry 3-0.
BIRTHDAY OF THE DAY: Jen Friedman, above Obama WH agent columnist secretary and now SVP of accessible diplomacy at Blackstone. What she’s been account recently: “‘How to Advertise,’ by Kenneth Roman and Jane Maas. Published in 1976. I accustomed this book from my 98 year-old grandmother, who anesthetized abroad recently. She was a chief executive, and pioneer, in the announcement business during the ‘Mad Men’ era. The book includes an inscription to my grandma from the author: ‘For Rita, a able who does not charge this book.’ She additionally adored hand-written addendum to and from her colleagues at Ogilvy & Mather and added ad agencies. It is appreciably accordant today.” Playbook Plus Q&A
BIRTHDAYS: Retired Gen. David Petraeus … Sheila Nix … POLITICO’s Elena Schneider … Brad Woodhouse, Democratic adviser and controlling administrator of Protect Our Affliction (hat tip: Bradley Beychok) … Liz Allen, SVP at GPG and above Obama WH agent comms administrator (h/t Chris Ortman) … above Sen. Rudy Boschwitz (R-Minn.) is 88 … POLITICO Europe’s Agathe Legris … Caroline Tabler, comms. administrator for Sen. Tom Cotton (R-Ark.) … Rep. Sam Graves (R-Mo.) is 55 … Rep. Andy Biggs (R-Ariz.) is 6-0 … Rep. Rick Allen (R-Ga.) is 67 … Adams Nager … CNN contributor Kaylee Hartung … Jonathan Tannenwald … Meghan Roh, administrator of accessible diplomacy at Epic … Ben Golnik … Avi Zvi Zenilman is 34 …
… Siobhan Gorman, accomplice at Brunswick Accumulation (h/t George Little) … Facebook’s Erin Green … Jeff Bjornstad is 51 … Trey Graham … Daniel Libit … Olivia Lucas … Phil LaRue … Max Viscio … Perry Goffner … Kate Murphy … Kelsey Suter of APCO Worldwide … Betsy Bourassa … George Thompson, accomplice at Banner Accessible Diplomacy … Jamila Bey … Liz Llorente … Edelman’s Kathy Killeavy … Kyle Kerchaert … Adnaan Muslim … Jackie Lemaire … Glennis Meagher … David Grossman … Tory Mazzola … Andrea Krizner … Dana Schultz (h/ts Teresa Vilmain)
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